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All comments by Leonard Helfgott
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I believe a “pure” elopement occurs when the intended ruff does not depend on the rank of the trump card, so dummy’s stiff 2 sitting over lho’s stiff 3 when both can ruff the suit led, or even 765432 sitting over AKQJT9 promotes a trump trick. A “rank” elopement occurs when the rank of the card is relevant. For example, LHO has 108 trumps and dummy has stiff 9. If it were 109 vs stiff 8, LHO could ruff high and pull last trump. The classic coup en passant, terminology taken from chess (in passing) is definitely an elopement play.
an hour ago
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7H is also easy opposite Axxx Qxx Axx Kxx, a 13 Count. Would you suggest an upgrade to 1NT Opener followed by superaccept? If you play “specific Kings” you can plan in advance to bid 4NT, and after a 5S response (2 keys plus trump queen) a 5NT ask gets you the needed trump king.
Nov. 19
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I agree with Craig. While we may differ on how maximal a hand is needed for a superaccept, I don’t see opponents getting into a NT auction just because we have a 9 card fit. And I have often seen the case of 8 tricks being the limit. Happens almost daily.
I’ve heard all the arguments for “always” jumping to 3 level (after a transfer) with 4 trumps but I have always rejected them.
ABW poll on how elite a 4 trump 1NT Opener need be to superaccept (top 10%, top25%, top half, any) might be informative.
Nov. 19
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Two interesting side questions:
1. Is there a way for Opener to show both 3 hearts AND 4 clubs in a slam interest hand. You could bid 3H to show heart fit, but a better club slam could be missed. Note that without the heart jack 7C would be superior, cold opposite Axx Qxx Axx Kxxx, only 13. The 4 loser hand needs 4 cover cards.
2. There should be some distinction between opener’s 3H fit and a jump to 4H, given no prior super acceptance. Some might play Fast Arrival concept where 4H is weaker, some might prefer 4H to be stronger/longer hearts without pre-acceptance values. Without prior discussion I don’t think either method is clearly superior.
Nov. 17
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Just for informational purposes, a double raise of major is not unheard of in expert circles, and was somewhat popular long ago. Back in 2012 there was a Bridge World similar problem, something like AKx xx AKxx Axxx after 1D-1S. While several experts did choose 2NT, the top score went to the trump shy 3S call. Not saying optimal here, just it’s not absurd and does solve some problems.
Nov. 15
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1M-3m is a solid meaningful and well defined alternative. However 1m-2M still has great value as Soloway SJS staying at 2-level.
Nov. 15
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Craig: The flip side is that if Opener could actually bid 3S you will be playing some game (or. Slam), so going past 3H is not a worry. There may be more subtle reasons for inverting these, like allowing openers 2NT over 2S OGUST to code/ask for something, but haven’t thought about it.
While I agree about seats and colors, I think that if you DO play OGUST you should be giving a GG response with a guarded king as in xx KQTxxx Kx xxx, even in 2nd chair RvsW. Not pretty but it is OGUST. The point behind this problem is to see how the BW field values the doubtful stiff diamond King. Of course, the reduced loser count afforded by 10xxx club bs might sway some.
Nov. 14
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At the table I would surely play spade king and another early and when lhocshowed our duck it to Rho. Then only a diamond shift breaks the double squeeze. Winning line too difficult for me.
Nov. 13
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The 1 in 715 curiosity is also the number of distinct 4 card suits (13 choose 4), like AKQJ or an other specific 4 card holding. So calculating the frequency of being dealt AKQJ, or the frequency of being dealt 2 identical 4 card suits in same hand, isn't too tough.
Nov. 13
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While the 3S call does risk running into a junk Stayman poor hand, its a reasonable risk to take that partner does not have that. And while I, like Richard Fleet, would not open 1NT with that particular hand, there are many other hands with 5 spades and near maximal values where I would.
Nov. 12
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I would try to cash diamond quack before club ace and ruff, orherwise as crossruff lines.
Nov. 12
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Thanks Craig. Your analysis was right on the money and I appreciate being educated in an area I have not had much exposure to. Playing with a friend and mentee I could not be sure how “disciplined” he was, and though I wanted to bid 3D I thought it as likely that he held only 4 diamonds and hoped for a 2Nd heart so based on the huge suit quality disparityI bid 3H. In fact he held QTxx Q KQ9xx JTx. UltimAtely 3H (and 3D) needed the spade Jack onside although 3D had other chances. And as you predicted 3CX would fail by 1-2 tricks. I really didn’t consider Pass although I should have, and next time will rely on my instincts ( to bid 3D). At the local sectional I asked a couple of experts and they did prefer 3D.
Nov. 12
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David Yates (and others) are correct. My 10 second analysis after a long day was wrong. The only advantage to a club is that you go down at trick 13 (or thereabouts) instead of trick 4 when diamonds are wrong (QJxx/xx). :). My wife always backs into a parking spot (more work than pulling in, delayed gratification, so you don’t have to worry about who is behind you when backing out.) Ducking the club is the opposite—-delaying the pain as long as possible!:)
Nov. 11
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As I mentioned in a subsequent post, this posting was an error, the hearts should have been QJx not KQx. With the hand above I would personally upgrade to a 20-21 2NT. :)
Nov. 9
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A spade club squeeze seems unlikely, so I would probably duck a club and hope for something lucky later.
Nov. 9
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It’s not clear to me whether winning DK or ducking to DA at T1 is better for the endplay. You are certainly going to finesse hearts and try to ruff clubs in hand, and if East has QT953 as expected, you need to maintain DJ. You don’t want East pitching a heart on 3Rd club if he is 3352, so finessing hearts early seems a plus. It’s hard to see how you can avoid losing 2 spades along with 1C and at least 2 diamonds.
Nov. 8
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I stand corrected. Forgot about location of red jack. Unlucky for you. Apparently our field didn’t like leading singletons, perhaps preferring spade ace, as majority made 12 tricks ( mostly in game).
Nov. 8
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Mike: If the diamond finesse is off and you rise ace, you cannot pull 3 rounds of trumps when queen is stiff since you need 4 rounds of clubs to pitch a diamond. A good slam will require 4 controls (HK, DK, CA) and the heart queen or a 6th heart. And if you are missing the heart jack the heart play drops to 46% (5/6 of 2-2 plus 1/4 of 3-1)
Nov. 7
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Best bid in bridge (Fit Showing jump by advancer) if you can get partner to agree.
Nov. 7
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Mike: I think if you simply bash to slam using RKC you are going to get to a lot of bad slams, given opening standards nowadays. Consider x K9xxx AJx AJxx, a sound opener with 5 controls, Picking up the heart suit is about 46%. I would push towards slam with my hand but not insist on it.
Nov. 7
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