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All comments by Leonard Helfgott
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Richard Pavlicek’s measure of skewness might help.
April 23
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If you share common parents with your sibling, would you call that person your half-sibling? Of course not.
April 23
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Is that like “Meathead” (Rob Reiner, in “All in the Family”) hopping down the staircase on one foot because he was wearing one shoe when the house might have been on fire?
April 21
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Maybe we should ask Chthonic (see Bridge World) how “he” would defend. I’m sure we would receive a lengthy and scathing soliloquy. (I was not sure whether assigning a gender to the fictional Chthonic would please or dismay our distaff readers, but the imperious Chthonic seems a male personality to me.).
April 21
Leonard Helfgott edited this comment April 21
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I seem to recall a section from one of Michael Lawrence’s books where he recommends (in some cases), using Michaels over 1m with 4S and 5H given problems with losing spades after the 1H overcall (or landing badly in a minor after a double.) If my memory is Whack, I apologize Mr. Lawrence.
April 21
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As partner is in theory unlimited in values and may have unusual shape (5404/5440) it does seem unwise to preempt partner (with 4S) instead of letting him take control. Jumping to 4S seems to be taking Fast Arrival concepts a bit too far, even if you are a Fast arrival advocate (which I am not), IMO.
April 19
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Agreed. You simply cannot NOT bid 2H with this hand. If partner passes 2H, tough. Playing Fit jumps in comp are great, but also play 2/2 is forcing. Even 2/1 or 1/1 might be better as forcing, but 2/2 definitely, IMO.
April 19
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Not sure why 3H is “taking advantage” if East chooses to not bid more strongly. The most likely distributions for West's double are 4513, 3514 and 3523 and 2/3rds of those have only 3 spades. Partner may have been worried about a 4C response with say 4522.
If partner is more likely to have 3 spades then the 5-2 in hearts is preferred to weak 4-3 in spades.
April 19
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Richard: No argument, but if no Double would you prefer Pas, 3H or 4C?
April 19
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Yes. I flunk reading comprehension! Need to rethink completely!
April 18
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I think the vacant spaces are far overwhelmed by table presence and card reading, so if we just look at a priori chances with no extreme evidence, here is my take:
In A) the A and K are in different suits, so LHO holding both is only 25% and RHO holding either or both is the complement or 75%.
B1) Any particular honor irrespective of the presence of the other two is 50%. If holding that honor exclusively, 1/8 or 12.5%.
B2) Any particular two honors exclusively means LHO holds exclusively the third honor, or 12.5%.
B3) All 3 honors, 12.5%
This sounds like a binomial 1/8, 3/8, 3/8, 1/8 situation. The asymmetries for vacant spaces seem de minimis.
C) If you can cash the ace first in the 9 card suit, that seems the best “echelon” play. If not I would think card reading prevails.
That’s my take.
April 18
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Yes. My blind spot. I “meant” a maximal double.
April 18
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All I can say is Wowie, Wowie, WOW!! And given the source of the above comment, I will repeat Wowie, Wowie, WOW!!
April 18
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Yes, without the club lead Love cover this nicely, the simpler B-1 variant of Double Squeeze in Chapter 2, a logical extension of the E-2 variant in Chapter 1. As far as the Hexagon after the club lead, I have my doubts that even the worlds greatest could find that at the table.

If Magnus Carlsen (Chess) could be crushed by Alpha One or Stockfish computer programs, there is plenty of room for unseen “error” even by the world's greatest.
April 18
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Without all the decimals, an experienced player should know the odds are roughly 50:40:10 for 3-1/2-2/4-0, all even splits are below 50% except for 1-1. The King will be stiff 1/4 of time
(12 1/2%), the King will be doub onside 1/2 of time (1/2*40=20%) and 5% each for King 4-0 onside and offside.
April 18
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Nice to agree with Richard and Bob!
April 18
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what makes you convinced 3S is cold? Haven't you already bid your hand with the 3S bid without much shape? If you were so ambitious, couldn't you have bid 3D?
April 18
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I'm a simpleton on these. It looks like you have to set up dummy's diamonds or you Have too many black losers. I'm not sure if playing any high hearts initially is right, (I think not) but assuming you did play HA I'dd go after diamonds with K and a ruff.
If the diamonds are 3-2 maybe trying a second heart before the ruff??
If everything is 4-1 then you are going down, maybe bid time.But I'm only an A player and there are tons of experts out there who can weigh the possibilities.
April 17
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Is it clear that 6S is such a great contract? Probably over 50% with best play, but not by much.
April 14
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With all the bizarro and unsound actions players condone now when white vs Red at matchpoints, I’m surprised there was so much resistance. And even with the modal vote to pass all three, the majority voted to bid on one or more of these hands.
April 14
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