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Whats the Best Line—-Allendale Tales #2

North
Kxxx
KJxx
AQx
Qx
South
Qxx
AQxx
Kxx
Axx
W
N
E
S
1NT
P
4NT
P
P
P

From Allendale’s Sunday Team Game. 20VP scale (7x7 Swiss)

Declarer North, somewhat of a resulter, misguessed the black position and went down 1.   She was harshly criticized by her partner, a much bigger resulter.

After that start you can guess.   They finished dead last!  Can't stand resulters.  Karma!  

Clearly you need to play on clubs or spades for 10th trick.   You can Stayman first, but might accidentally get to 5H if you do so.

The club play is 50%.   I don't know if spade plays, or some echelon play, are better or worse. A-doub or Ace-third onside vs. A-longer, etc.

If you lead a spade to an honor and it loses, the hand will probably play itself out as the cards lie. (i think)—if he wins from AJ tight you can duck the J return.

Assume lead of heart 8, an obvious top of nothing from any length.

 

Club toward Q
Spade towards Q, if win, club to Q
Spade towards Q, if win duck a spade
Spade towards K, if win club to Q
Spade towards K, if win duck a spade.
Other

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