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Downgrades?

Recently I posted an 18 hcp balanced hand (KJ9 QJ ATxx AKxx) that only a small minority considered worth a downgrade to a 15-17 1NT.

I am curious as to the modern consensus/style regarding downgrades of this hand type.  Please select from below the first hand (in descending strength order, I think, although 2 and 3 are close) with which you would downgrade to 1NT, if at all.  

Let’s assume matchpoints, where some would prefer to always match the field , at least in marginal situations.

Just for the record, Joe Grue, current World Champ, once told me personally that he NEVER downgrades.  Whether he was being 100% truthful or not, if I (or any of us) could play like him we wouldn’t have to either!

KJx QJ Axxx AKxx
KJx QJ KJxx AKxx
KJx QJ KQxx AQxx
KQx QJx KQJ KJxx
I never downgrade
other

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